The vote in the parliamentary elections confirms expectations of a drastic reconfiguration of the political landscape in Romania. After centralising the data from 99.5% of polling stations, we know that the next legislature will comprise seven parties.

Here is the breakdown of the weights of the parties that have exceeded the 5% quota needed to enter parliament:

The anti-system parties, self-proclaimed sovereignist, sceptical of the European Union and NATO or explicitly anti-EU and NATO, have seen significant increases, from a parliamentary presence of around 9% in 2020-2024 to a cumulative share of around 32% in the next Parliament. The traditional parties – PSD and PNL – lost massive ground, from around 54% in 2020 to around 35% now. USR also lost about 3 percentage points, from over 15% to just over 12%.

These are partial results. The figures will change marginally once the counting of all the options is finalised and after the redistribution of votes given to parties that did not reach the threshold needed to enter parliament, around 10% of the votes.

We will have a fragmented parliament which will generate unstable majorities. After the election of the next president is finalised, complicated negotiations will follow, leading to a fragile government that will be vulnerable to the political and economic crises that we anticipate in the immediate future.